Emerging Technologies: AI, Quantum Computing and Semiconductors
AI, quantum technology and semiconductors for UPSC — how each works, applications, India's missions (IndiaAI, NQM, ISM) and governance issues.
SyllabusGS III · Awareness in the fields of IT, computers, robotics and emerging technologies
Prerequisites: IT, Computers and Emerging Technologies — overview · Cyber Security
The Hook: Two Nobel Prizes for Machine Learning
In October 2024, the Nobel Prize in Physics went to John Hopfield and Geoffrey Hinton for foundational work that enabled machine learning with artificial neural networks. A day later, the Chemistry prize was shared by David Baker (computational protein design) and Demis Hassabis and John Jumper (AlphaFold, an AI system that predicts protein structures).
Two science Nobels for artificial intelligence in one week signalled that AI is no longer only a computing tool — it is changing how science itself is done. The questions for an aspirant: how do these technologies work, what can India do with them, and who should set the rules?
The Core Concept
Three technologies dominate the “emerging tech” part of the syllabus. Each is explained below as what it is → how it works → applications → India’s status → issues.
1. Artificial intelligence
What it is. AI is the ability of a machine to perform tasks that normally need human intelligence — recognising images and speech, translating, predicting, planning and generating text or images.
How it works. Most modern AI is machine learning (ML): instead of being given explicit rules, a program is shown large amounts of data and adjusts internal numbers (“parameters”) until its predictions match the examples. Deep learning uses many-layered artificial neural networks, loosely inspired by neurons, which learn increasingly abstract features layer by layer. Generative AI models — including large language models (LLMs) — are trained on vast text or image collections to predict the next word or pixel, which lets them produce new content. They can also produce fluent but false output, known as hallucination.
graph TD
A[Artificial Intelligence] --> B[Machine Learning: learns from data]
B --> C[Deep Learning: many-layered neural networks]
C --> D[Generative AI: creates text, images, code]
D --> E[Large Language Models]| Type of learning | How it learns | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Supervised | From labelled examples | Spam filters; disease detection from scans |
| Unsupervised | Finds patterns in unlabelled data | Customer segmentation; fraud clustering |
| Reinforcement | Trial and error with rewards | Game-playing systems; robot control |
Applications. Crop-disease detection and weather-based advisories; screening X-rays and retinal images; language translation for public services (the government’s Bhashini platform under the National Language Translation Mission); traffic management; fraud detection in banking; protein-structure prediction in drug discovery.
India’s status.
- IndiaAI Mission — approved in March 2024 with an outlay of ₹10,371.92 crore, for shared AI compute (GPUs), datasets, indigenous foundation models, start-up financing and skilling.
- India was a founding member of the Global Partnership on AI (GPAI) in 2020 and hosted its summit in New Delhi in December 2023.
- India co-chaired the AI Action Summit in Paris in February 2025.
- The Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023 governs the processing of personal data, including data used to train AI systems.
Issues. Bias in training data; deepfakes and misinformation; privacy; opacity (“black box” decisions); job displacement; the energy and water demand of data centres; concentration of compute and data in a few firms; copyright over training data; accountability when an AI system causes harm.
2. Quantum technology
What it is. Technologies that use quantum-mechanical effects — superposition and entanglement — for computing, communication and sensing.
How it works. A classical bit is either 0 or 1. A qubit can exist in a superposition of 0 and 1 until it is measured. Two qubits can be entangled, so that measuring one instantly fixes the state of the other, however far apart they are. A quantum computer manipulates many entangled qubits together, which makes certain problems — factoring large numbers, simulating molecules, some optimisation tasks — vastly faster than on classical machines. Qubits are fragile: heat, vibration or stray fields cause decoherence, so most designs operate near absolute zero and need error correction.
| Application | How quantum helps |
|---|---|
| Quantum computing | Molecular simulation for drugs and materials, optimisation, factoring |
| Quantum communication | Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) — any eavesdropping disturbs the quantum state and is detected |
| Quantum sensing | Ultra-precise clocks, magnetometers and gravimeters for navigation and mineral exploration |
| Quantum materials | Superconductors and topological materials that host qubits |
Why it matters for security. A large, error-corrected quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could break today’s widely used public-key encryption. Governments are therefore moving to post-quantum cryptography — classical algorithms believed to resist quantum attack.
India’s status. The National Quantum Mission was approved in April 2023 with an outlay of ₹6,003.65 crore from 2023-24 to 2030-31, implemented by the Department of Science and Technology. Its targets include intermediate-scale quantum computers with 50–1,000 physical qubits within eight years and satellite-based secure quantum communication over 2,000 km between ground stations. It is organised around four thematic hubs — computing, communication, sensing and metrology, and materials and devices.
Issues. Very high cost; scarce specialised talent; dependence on imported components such as dilution refrigerators; the need to migrate government and banking systems to quantum-safe encryption well before large quantum computers arrive.
3. Semiconductors
What it is. A semiconductor (mainly silicon) conducts electricity better than an insulator but worse than a metal, and its conductivity can be controlled. A chip packs billions of tiny transistors — switches — onto a silicon wafer.
How it works — the value chain.
| Stage | What happens | Who leads globally |
|---|---|---|
| Design | Engineers lay out circuits using specialised software (EDA tools) | USA; India has a large design workforce |
| Fabrication (“fab”) | Circuits are printed onto wafers through repeated lithography, etching and deposition | Taiwan, South Korea, USA, China |
| ATMP / OSAT | Assembly, Testing, Marking and Packaging — wafers are cut into chips, packaged and tested | East and South-East Asia |
The “node” (for example 28 nm or 3 nm) broadly indicates how finely transistors are made; smaller nodes pack more transistors per chip. Moore’s law — the observation that the number of transistors on a chip doubles roughly every two years — has driven this for decades, but is slowing as transistors approach atomic scales.
Applications. Phones and computers, vehicles and electric-vehicle power electronics, telecom equipment, defence systems, medical devices and the data centres that train AI.
India’s status.
- The Semicon India Programme (December 2021) set aside ₹76,000 crore to support fabs, display fabs, ATMP/OSAT units and chip design, run through the India Semiconductor Mission (ISM).
- Approvals include Micron’s ATMP unit at Sanand, Gujarat (June 2023), and, in February 2024, a Tata Electronics fab at Dholera, Gujarat (with Taiwan’s PSMC), a Tata assembly-and-test unit in Assam and a CG Power OSAT unit at Sanand.
Issues. Fabs need tens of thousands of crores of capital, uninterrupted power and ultra-pure water; India lacks a mature supplier ecosystem for chemicals, gases and equipment; global supply is concentrated in a few places, which makes it a geopolitical chokepoint; export controls on advanced chips and tools.
Other technologies at a glance
| Technology | One-line idea | India link |
|---|---|---|
| 5G | Higher speed, very low latency, network slicing | Launched in India in October 2022 |
| Internet of Things (IoT) | Everyday devices connected and exchanging data | Smart meters, smart cities |
| Blockchain | A tamper-evident distributed ledger shared across many computers, without a central record-keeper | Land records, supply-chain tracing |
| Cloud computing | Renting computing and storage over the internet | Government’s MeghRaj cloud initiative |
| Edge computing | Processing data close to where it is generated to cut delay | Autonomous vehicles, industrial IoT |
| Supercomputing | Massively parallel computers | National Supercomputing Mission (2015), PARAM series |
Memory Anchors
AI nesting doll: “All Machines Dream Generously” → AI ⊃ Machine learning ⊃ Deep learning ⊃ Generative AI.
Quantum’s three S’s: Superposition (many states at once), Spooky entanglement (linked qubits), Sensitivity (decoherence).
Mission numbers: “21 – 23 – 24” → Semicon India (2021), National Quantum Mission (2023), IndiaAI Mission (2024).
| Confusable pair | Difference |
|---|---|
| ML vs deep learning | Deep learning is ML using many-layered neural networks |
| QKD vs post-quantum cryptography | QKD uses quantum physics to share keys; PQC is classical maths that resists quantum attack |
| Fab vs ATMP | Fab makes wafers; ATMP cuts, packages and tests chips |
| Cloud vs edge | Cloud centralises processing; edge pushes it close to the data source |
One-line Mains hook: AI capacity rests on three pillars — compute, data and talent — and a country that imports all three cannot claim technological sovereignty.
For Prelims
- IndiaAI Mission — March 2024; ₹10,371.92 crore.
- National Quantum Mission — April 2023; ₹6,003.65 crore; 2023-24 to 2030-31; target of 50–1,000 physical qubits in eight years; DST implements.
- Semicon India Programme — December 2021; ₹76,000 crore; Micron ATMP at Sanand (2023); Tata fab at Dholera (2024).
- QKD detects eavesdropping because measuring a quantum state disturbs it.
- 5G launched in India in October 2022.
- Nobel Physics 2024 (Hopfield, Hinton) — neural networks; Nobel Chemistry 2024 (Baker; Hassabis, Jumper) — protein design and AlphaFold.
For Mains
- Dimensions: economic (productivity, jobs, digital public infrastructure); strategic (chip supply security, quantum-safe encryption); social (inclusion through Indian-language AI, digital divide); ethical (bias, deepfakes, privacy); environmental (energy and water use of data centres).
- Keywords: sovereign compute, foundation models, algorithmic accountability, explainability, techno-legal approach, supply-chain resilience, trusted partners, quantum-safe migration.
- Value-addition: IndiaAI Mission (2024); DPDP Act (2023); National Quantum Mission (2023); Semicon India Programme (2021); India’s role in GPAI and the Paris AI Action Summit (2025).
Common Traps
In the News
- October 2024 — Nobel Prizes in Physics and Chemistry recognise neural networks and AI-based protein-structure prediction.
- February 2025 — India co-chairs the AI Action Summit in Paris.
- October 2025 — the Nobel Prize in Physics went to John Clarke, Michel Devoret and John Martinis for demonstrating macroscopic quantum tunnelling and energy quantisation in an electric circuit — work underlying superconducting qubits. Follow-ups on the current affairs page.
Practice
Prelims
Consider the following statements:
- Deep learning is a subset of machine learning that uses multi-layered artificial neural networks.
- In supervised learning, a model is trained on labelled examples.
- Large language models are programmed with explicit grammatical rules for each language they generate.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
Solution
Statements 1 and 2 are correct. Statement 3 is incorrect — LLMs are not given hand-written grammar rules; they learn statistical patterns from very large text collections by predicting the next word (token). That is also why they can “hallucinate” fluent but false content.
Answer: A
With reference to quantum technology, consider the following statements:
- A qubit can exist in a superposition of the states 0 and 1.
- In Quantum Key Distribution, an attempt to intercept the key disturbs the quantum states and can be detected.
- Quantum computers are expected to outperform classical computers on every kind of computing task.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
Solution
Statements 1 and 2 are correct — superposition is the defining property of a qubit, and QKD’s security rests on the fact that measurement disturbs a quantum state. Statement 3 is incorrect — quantum advantage applies to particular problem classes (factoring, simulation, some optimisation), not to every task.
Answer: C
In the semiconductor value chain, the stage in which processed wafers are cut into individual chips, which are then encapsulated and checked for defects, is known as
Solution
This is ATMP — Assembly, Testing, Marking and Packaging (also called OSAT when outsourced). Electronic design automation is the design stage; wafer fabrication and photolithography happen in the fab, before the wafer is cut into chips.
Answer: D
Mains
Artificial intelligence can transform governance in India but also magnify its failures. Examine, and suggest the principles of a suitable regulatory approach.
Solution
Introduction: AI systems learn patterns from data and can now generate text, images and decisions at scale. India has backed them through the IndiaAI Mission (2024) and Indian-language platforms such as Bhashini, while the DPDP Act (2023) sets rules for personal data.
Body:
- Transformation: language translation for public services; crop and weather advisories; early disease screening; fraud detection in welfare and taxation; traffic and disaster management; faster case management in courts.
- Magnified failures: biased training data can exclude the poor or minorities at scale; opaque decisions undermine the right to reasons; deepfakes threaten elections and public order; surveillance risks to privacy (K.S. Puttaswamy, 2017); errors in welfare targeting become systemic; job displacement in routine services.
- Principles for regulation: risk-based approach (stricter rules for high-risk uses such as policing, credit and health); human oversight and a right to appeal; transparency and audit of public-sector algorithms; data protection by design; labelling of synthetic content; sandboxes for innovation; capacity building in government; global co-operation through forums such as GPAI.
Conclusion: AI should augment, not replace, accountable human judgement in governance. A risk-based, rights-respecting framework can capture its benefits while containing its harms.
Quick Revision
| Point | One-liner |
|---|---|
| AI hierarchy | AI ⊃ ML ⊃ deep learning ⊃ generative AI / LLMs |
| Hallucination | Fluent but false output from generative models |
| IndiaAI Mission | March 2024; ₹10,371.92 crore |
| Qubit | Superposition of 0 and 1; fragile (decoherence) |
| QKD | Eavesdropping is detectable |
| National Quantum Mission | April 2023; ₹6,003.65 crore; to 2030-31 |
| Semicon India | December 2021; ₹76,000 crore |
| ATMP vs fab | Packaging/testing vs wafer manufacturing |
| 5G in India | October 2022 |
| DPDP Act | 2023 |
Key Takeaways
- Explain each technology in one plain paragraph — Prelims tests the basic mechanism, not engineering detail.
- Know the three missions — IndiaAI (2024), National Quantum Mission (2023), Semicon India (2021) — with their year and outlay.
- In Mains, balance opportunity with governance: bias, privacy, security, jobs and supply-chain dependence.
Related Topics
- IT and Emerging Tech — quick revision
- IT and Emerging Tech — practice questions
- Cyber Security and Communication Networks
- Nanotechnology and New Materials — materials behind chips and qubits
- Industry and Infrastructure
- Intellectual Property Rights — software and AI-related patents